现在读者看到的这部《世界能源中国展望（2015—2016）》是我所徐小杰研究员与其团队基于过去一年国内外的广泛调研和研讨，结合中国能源发展规划、全球能源对话和未来能源研究交流需要，向读者推出的第三部中国与世界能源发展互动展望的跨年度研究报告。在过去三年多时间里，该研究报告课题组根据本人于2013年年初的提议，调动各方资源，每年组织内外力量和国内外调研，连续出版了三部能源展望报告，综合体现了研究团队的最新研究成果。该部报告不仅继承和完善了能源展望报告的研究方法和基本框架，而且在过去两部报告的基础上，围绕中长期能源发展态势，无论是在研究层次和深度上，还是在数据库扩展更新和专题研究上，都有较大幅度的提升和发展。其中不乏对世界经济长周期、产业革命与能源转型的背景研究，对2020年、2030年及2050年的能源态势研究，对煤炭清洁高效利用中国方案的调研，石油时代新阶段的分析，核电的理性选择原则与中国的技术路线，非水可再生能源的五大关系研究，以及对能源安全新特征的扩展研究。经过不断优化和完善的本版能源展望数据库有力地体现了中国能源系统的基本框架，主体数据反映了能源的系统性、协同性和转型方向。自本部报告开始，课题组发布了支撑报告主题研究的系列数据、数据推演方法、底层系数和政策依据，以便同行交流与评估。我相信，这份独立而连续性的年度研究报告对于读者深入研究中国能源转型、研讨核心问题、规划2020年和2050年“中国梦”的能源篇章均具有参考价值。同时，本报告与国际能源署等机构的研究方法对接，以中国为重点标的，开展中国与世界互动性的能源展望，有利于中国学者向世界展示能源转型的“中国故事”、“中国方案”和中国的“最佳实践”。事实上，过去三年里，本报告的英文演示报告已经在国际能源机构、能源智库和能源界进行了广泛交流和多场专场演讲，对于推进国内外能源对话与交流起到了智力支撑作用。在此，我对研究团队的这一成果表示祝贺，期待广大读者继续关注本报告，不断提出改进意见和建议。中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所 所长、研究员2016年3月25日

The "World Energy China Outlook (2015-2016)" that readers see now is the third cross-year research report on the interactive outlook of China-world energy development launched to readers based on extensive research and discussions at home and abroad in the past year, combined with China's energy development planning, global energy dialogue and future energy research and exchange needs. In the past three years, according to my proposal in early 2013, the research team of the research report has mobilized resources from all parties, organized internal and external forces and domestic and foreign research every year, and published three energy outlook reports in a row, which comprehensively reflected the latest research results of the research team. The report not only inherits and improves the research methods and basic framework of the energy outlook report, but also focuses on the medium and long-term energy development trend on the basis of the past two reports, whether in terms of research level and depth, or in database expansion and update and special research, there has been a relatively large improvement and development. Among them, there are background studies on the long-term cycle of the world economy, industrial revolution and energy transition, research on the energy situation in 2020, 2030 and 2050, research on China's clean and efficient use of coal, analysis of the new stage of the oil era, the rational choice principle of nuclear power and China's technical route, research on the five major relationships between non-hydro renewable energy, and extended research on the new characteristics of energy security. After continuous optimization and improvement, this edition of the energy outlook database strongly reflects the basic framework of China's energy system, and the main data reflects the systematic, collaborative and transformation direction of energy. Since the beginning of this report, the research group has released a series of data, data deduction methods, underlying coefficients and policy basis supporting the research of the theme of the report, so as to facilitate peer exchange and evaluation. I believe that this independent and continuous annual research report will be useful for readers to delve into China's energy transition, discuss core issues, and plan for the energy chapter of the "Chinese Dream" in 2020 and 2050. At the same time, this report aligns with the research methods of the International Energy Agency and other institutions, focusing on China, and carries out the interactive energy outlook between China and the world, which is conducive to Chinese scholars showing the world the "Chinese story", "Chinese solution" and China's "best practice" of energy transition. In fact, in the past three years, the English presentation of this report has been widely exchanged and given a number of special speeches by the International Energy Agency, energy think tanks and the energy community, which has played an intellectual support role in promoting energy dialogue and exchanges at home and abroad. Here, I congratulate the research team on this achievement, and look forward to the readers' continued attention to this report and continue to provide suggestions and suggestions for improvement. Director and Researcher, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, March 25, 2016（AI翻译）