本书是中国人民大学宏观经济论坛团队关于2016-2017年中国宏观经济分析与预测的研究成果，执笔人为毛振华、刘元春、袁海霞、张英杰。全书总共分为五部分：第一部分为总论与预测，包括对2016年经济运行特点的分析，对2017年经济走势的展望以及对主要经济指标的预测等；第二部分深入分析了短期底部企稳与泡沫聚集的2016年经济，总结了当前经济运行的主要特征；第三部分对2017年持续筑底的逻辑进行了深入分析，并提出2017年还将面临七大困境；第四部分重点分析了当前经济问题中需要关注的重中之重——债务风险。第五部分着重论述构建稳增长与防风险双底线的宏观调控体系，在提出需要处理好六大关系观点的基础上，给出双底线思维下宏观调控的具体建议。

This book is the research result of the Macroeconomic Forum team of Chinese Min University on China's macroeconomic analysis and forecast in 2016-2017, written by Mao Zhenhua, Liu Yuanchun, Yuan Haixia, and Zhang Yingjie. The book is divided into five parts: the first part is a general overview and forecast, including the analysis of the characteristics of economic operation in 2016, the outlook of the economic trend in 2017, and the forecast of major economic indicators; The second part deeply analyzes the economy in 2016 with short-term bottom stabilization and bubble accumulation, and summarizes the main characteristics of current economic operation; The third part provides an in-depth analysis of the logic of continuing to build a bottom in 2017, and proposes seven major dilemmas in 2017; Part IV focuses on debt risk, the most important issue in the current economic issues that requires attention. The fifth part focuses on the construction of a macro-control system with a double bottom line of stable growth and risk prevention, and gives specific suggestions for macro-control under the double bottom line thinking on the basis of putting forward the viewpoint that needs to be handled well.（AI翻译）

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